RAIN Jumps to $0.0134: What Holders of the Prediction Market Token Should Check Now

The RAIN token costs $0.01339 on September 19, 2026. That is 5.5 percent more than 24 hours earlier, and it is enough for 16th place by market capitalisation. The number that matters more to you as an investor in Germany sits elsewhere: total daily turnover across all trading venues is around $29 million, and none of the exchanges retail investors here normally buy through currently runs a RAIN market.

This article puts both in context. It gives the figures with source and timestamp, explains what the project behind the token does, and then works through the points you can check yourself: the purchase route under MiCA, custody on Arbitrum, the tax consequence of a forced sale, and the levels the price is currently orienting itself around.

RAIN on September 19, 2026: price, market capitalisation and trading volume

All the values that follow come from CoinGecko. The price is $0.01339. Against the previous day there is a gain of 5.5 percent, over seven days a loss of 12.7 percent and over 30 days a loss of 3.8 percent. The daily gain therefore falls within a week that has been negative overall.

The all-time high stands at $0.019464 and was reached on August 25, 2026. From today's price, that is 31.2 percent away. Market capitalisation comes to $9.5 billion. The fully diluted valuation, meaning the value of the entire supply that will ever be possible at the current price, stands at $15.3 billion.

Around 709.2 billion tokens are in circulation. Total supply is roughly 1.142 trillion and the cap is 1.15 trillion. A good 61 percent of the maximum possible supply is therefore circulating. The remaining not quite 39 percent can be added over time and arithmetically dilute the value per token. How quickly that happens depends on the project's unlock schedule and is one of the points you should read up on in detail before buying.

What Rain is: prediction markets as infrastructure on Arbitrum

A prediction market is a venue where what trades is not an asset but the outcome of a future event. Whoever buys there acquires a share that pays out a fixed amount if the event occurs and expires worthless if it does not. The price of that share can be read as the probability the market assigns to the event.

According to the project description that CoinGecko carries, Rain positions itself as the substrate for such marketplaces rather than as a single marketplace. The project provides developer tools and interfaces with which third parties can set up their own prediction platforms, and it handles the settlement of those markets. The token sits on Arbitrum, a layer 2 chain on Ethereum, under the contract address 0x25118290e6a5f4139381d072181157035864099d. CoinGecko lists no other chain for RAIN.

Where the token is meant to draw its value from

The project description names a mechanism under which part of the trading volume on the platforms is used to buy RAIN back on the market and destroy it. That is a statement by the project and not a result verified by us. Anyone wanting to assess it has to look up two things: how much volume actually runs through the platforms, and how many tokens have actually been destroyed. Both can be traced on chain, and both belong to the questions to put to a model like this before you pay a price for it.

One point matters for the legal classification in Germany. Depending on how they are structured, prediction markets touch on gambling law and on financial market law, and the European supervisor is currently looking into the matter. The token itself must be kept separate from that. It is a tradable crypto asset and not a share in a single betting market.

$9.5 billion in market capitalisation, $29 million in turnover: what that ratio tells you

Market capitalisation is price times circulating supply. It does not show how much money can actually be moved without shifting the price. Trading volume stands for that. CoinGecko reports an aggregated daily turnover of $28.9 million for RAIN. Adding up the individual trading pairs gets you to $30.5 million. The gap between the two figures arises because the aggregation strips out double counting and outliers. We are naming both here anyway rather than smoothing to a single number.

Put that into ratio and around 0.3 percent of market capitalisation turns over in a day. At the large, broadly traded assets this ratio is regularly several times higher. A low reading is not a verdict on the project. It does tell you something very practical about what happens when many holders want to sell at the same time, or when an exchange unwinds a larger holding in one go.

That is precisely the case that has just arisen at RAIN, and at an exchange that is widely used in Germany.

Kraken is liquidating RAIN: why the withdrawal window has been shut since September 15

Kraken has removed RAIN from trading. The exchange announced this on June 3, 2026 and switched off trading and deposits on June 17, 2026 at 14:00 UTC. Since then the token could be neither bought nor sold there. What remained was withdrawal to an address of your own outside the exchange.

That window is shut. On September 15, 2026 at 14:00 UTC Kraken switched off withdrawals, which was four days ago. From September 15 to 25 the exchange is realising remaining holdings itself. That period is running at this moment.

The exchange's dates at a glance

In its notice the exchange names itself what those affected have to expect. Prices could be "significantly below recent reference prices" and in some cases bring in "minimal or no proceeds", because there is not enough liquidity in the market at the time of execution. This can be read in the delisting notice for Rain (RAIN). That assessment therefore comes from the house carrying out the sale.

If you have a Kraken account and held RAIN there, now is the moment to look into the account. If the holding is still showing, it will be realised in the coming days. If a credit already stands in its place, the sale has gone through and you need the statement for your records. We described the process in detail in August, when the withdrawal window was still open: Kraken liquidates Rain (RAIN).

Twelve trading venues with a RAIN market: our count of September 19, 2026

This analysis was compiled by cryptoticker.io itself on September 19, 2026. Method: we retrieved the complete list of trading venues for RAIN at CoinGecko and summarised the 24-hour turnover reported there for each exchange. Fourteen trading pairs on 12 venues were examined, as of 03:52 UTC.

Three observations follow from this. Trading is heavily concentrated, as the four largest venues together carry around four fifths of turnover. The only decentralised venue on the list is Uniswap in version 3 on Arbitrum, which is precisely the chain the token sits on. And none of the exchanges retail investors in Germany normally buy through appears in this count: Kraken has given the asset up, while Coinbase, Binance and Bitpanda ran no RAIN market at the time of our retrieval.

Open questions remain: whether the turnover reported by the individual venues is reliable, whether particular exchanges exclude German users from trading this asset, and whether a venue has been added or dropped since publication. The trading venue overview at CoinGecko shows you the current state at any time.

MiCA and the purchase route: why RAIN is hard to reach from Germany

Since the European crypto regulation MiCA applies in full, a provider addressing customers in the EU with trading or custody services needs authorisation as a crypto asset service provider. We have set out which obligations hang on that, and how the timetable has run, in our overview of the MiCA duties.

For you as an investor this has a very concrete consequence. For the route to a particular token it is no longer enough that some exchange lists it. What decides the matter is whether an authorised provider makes it accessible to you. At an asset such as RAIN, which in our count is carried mainly by internationally oriented venues, that selection turns out thin. Which houses hold an authorisation changes continually, and the only reliable source for this is the supervisor's public register. An overview of the authorised providers usable in Germany can be found in our comparison of the regulated crypto exchanges.

Before you open an account at a foreign trading venue merely to get this one token, a sober weighing up is worthwhile. You are handing funds to a house that may be subject to no European supervision, you go through another identity check there, and in a dispute a different law applies. The counter value is access to a market that, measured against its valuation, is thinly traded.

Custody on Arbitrum: what to check before withdrawing to your own address

RAIN sits on Arbitrum. Anyone moving the token off an exchange therefore needs an address reachable on that chain, and some ether on Arbitrum to cover fees, in order to be able to send a transaction at all later on. A withdrawal to an address on the Ethereum main chain will not reach the token. The address looks the same, the network is a different one, and this mistake is among the most common reasons for lost holdings.

A few points need clearing up before the first withdrawal. Does your wallet support Arbitrum as a network, and does it show the token under the contract address named above? Are your wallet's recovery words held outside every device that is online? And do you test with a small amount before moving the entire holding? The test amount costs a fee twice over and, in case of doubt, spares you a total loss.

Tax on a forced sale: what a liquidation by the exchange means for your holding period

A sale remains a sale for tax purposes even when you did not trigger it. If an exchange realises your holding as part of a delisting, that constitutes a disposal, and the decisive date is the day of execution. You did not choose it, and it counts all the same.

A holding period of one year applies in Germany to private disposal transactions in crypto assets. If you have held the tokens for longer than a year, a gain from the forced sale is left out of account. If less than twelve months lay between acquisition and the forced sale, the result is relevant for tax, and in both directions. Precisely where a realisation occurs at a price well below the reference rate, a loss frequently arises, and a loss also has to be declared so that it can be offset against gains from other private disposal transactions in the same year.

In practice that means: obtain the exchange's statement for this realisation, with date, quantity and proceeds, and file it with your acquisition data. If the acquisition date is missing, the holding period cannot be evidenced. Tools that consolidate your transactions across several exchanges take most of that reconstruction off your hands. For the assessment of your individual case, your tax adviser remains responsible.

Levels above and below: what the RAIN price is currently orienting itself around

On the upside the first level is the area the price came down from over the past week. Seven days ago RAIN stood around 12.7 percent higher than today, so at roughly $0.0153. Only above that would the weekly loss be worked off. The next level is the all-time high at $0.019464 from August 25, 31.2 percent above the current price.

On the downside the monthly comparison serves as an anchor. Over 30 days there is a loss of 3.8 percent, so the price is moving roughly around the level of mid-August. If it falls below that, this distance too is used up. How far a move carries in a market that turns over around 0.3 percent of its valuation in a day cannot be derived from the price chart alone.

We are not making a price target of our own here, nor are we reproducing anyone else's. What can be drawn from the figures are distances to points that actually took place.

Checking RAIN trading routes: what to take away

1. Look into your Kraken account today if you held RAIN there. The liquidation runs until September 25, and according to the exchange the proceeds may be well below the reference rate. Secure the statement. If you are looking for different access to the crypto market afterwards, our comparison of the best crypto exchanges supplies the starting point.
2. Clarify the tax consequence before the records disappear. A forced sale within the one-year period is relevant for tax, and so is a loss from it. Gather acquisition and sale data in one place; the comparison of crypto tax tools shows which programs take that on.
3. Decide deliberately about custody if you are keeping the token. RAIN sits on Arbitrum, and a withdrawal needs the right chain along with fee coverage. Which devices are suitable, and how to recognise a sound one, is set out in the hardware wallet comparison.

(As of September 19, 2026. This article is not investment advice. Prices and fee structures change; check the terms with the provider before you buy.)