XRP Price To Reach $5?

Ripple’s native token XRP has been teetering on the edge lately—and the growing global tariff war just made the slope even more slippery. With President Trump reigniting trade tensions and levying steep reciprocal tariffs on key manufacturing economies, traditional and crypto markets are both reacting sharply. In this volatile backdrop, XRP price has dipped dangerously close to long-term support. The big question now is: Will XRP crash further, or is this the dip to buy?

Let’s explore XRP’s daily and hourly charts to unpack what’s really going on—and how the tariff narrative might fuel the next big move.

XRP Soars 6.5% Ahead of XXRP ETF Launch — But Is the Rally Built on Risky Leverage?

The launch of Teucrium's 2x leveraged XRP ETF (XXRP) on April 8, 2025, coincided with a 6.5% price surge for XRP in the 24 hours preceding its debut, aligning with broader crypto market gains. While the ETF itself does not directly hold XRP—instead using swaps to amplify daily returns—it introduced regulated exposure to institutional investors, potentially boosting short-term speculative interest. 

However, the fund’s structure carries significant risks for holders due to daily compounding effects, where volatility could erode returns even during upward trends. Analysts note the ETF’s launch reflects improved regulatory clarity post-Ripple’s SEC case resolution, which may pave the way for spot XRP ETFs (65%-75% approval odds in 2025). While immediate price momentum was positive, sustained impact will depend on spot ETF approvals and XRP’s adoption trajectory amid lingering concerns about its utility on Ripple’s network

XRP Price Prediction: What Is the Daily Chart Revealing About XRP's Long-Term Strength?

XRP’s daily chart paints a cautiously bearish picture. After weeks of consolidating, the token has broken below its 50-day and 100-day simple moving averages (SMA), both of which were acting as soft support levels. At the time of writing, XRP price is trading around $1.88, with the 200-day SMA at $1.84 now acting as the final line of defense before a potentially deeper drop.

Heikin Ashi candles are showing a mix of small-bodied red and green candles, indicating indecision—but leaning bearish. This price action follows a series of lower highs, suggesting buyers are losing conviction and the market is being guided by macroeconomic fear rather than fundamentals.

The Accumulation/Distribution Line (ADL) on the daily chart has been steadily declining, reflecting waning interest from institutional buyers and larger holders. This is especially concerning because during prior corrections, XRP’s ADL showed accumulation. This time, it’s the opposite—distribution is in play.

Does the Hourly Chart Offer Any Signs of Recovery?

On the hourly chart, XRP price saw a minor recovery bounce after falling sharply toward $1.85, but momentum has already started fading. The price is currently below all major moving averages—20, 50, 100, and 200 SMAs—with the 200 SMA hovering at $2.05 acting as upper resistance.

Although there were some green Heikin Ashi candles in the recent session, they lacked strong follow-through. The candles are short, with upper wicks, showing hesitation among buyers and the potential return of sellers at slightly higher prices.

The hourly ADL is also sliding lower and showing no significant divergence, which means this bounce is not supported by real buying pressure. It looks more like a temporary short-covering rally than a true reversal.

Where Are XRP’s Key Support and Resistance Levels?

The most immediate support lies at $1.84, coinciding with the 200-day SMA. A decisive breakdown below this could open the door to a fall toward $1.65, a level that held as support in early 2024. If panic intensifies in the global financial ecosystem, XRP might even retest $1.50.

Resistance now sits near $1.91 (the 20-hour SMA) and more importantly at $2.00–$2.05, where the 100 and 200 SMAs intersect on lower timeframes. Any bullish recovery will need a strong breakout above this zone, preferably with increasing volume and a rising ADL.

What Are the Indicators Suggesting About XRP’s Next Move?

Moving Averages: Across both daily and hourly timeframes, XRP price is trading below key SMAs. This technical structure implies persistent selling pressure and discourages aggressive bullish bets unless the price reclaims higher levels.

Heikin Ashi Candles: These currently show weak momentum and lack of trend conviction. On the daily chart, the candles are transitioning but not turning definitively green, meaning volatility is here, but trend clarity isn’t.

Accumulation/Distribution Line (ADL): Both timeframes show declining ADL, signaling capital outflows. Without whale or institutional buying, any pump is at risk of being a trap.

XRP Price Prediction: How Could Tariff Wars Influence XRP’s April Outlook?

The re-emergence of U.S. trade tensions is shifting risk sentiment across all asset classes. While some investors still view crypto as a hedge, XRP’s price behavior suggests it's being treated like a risk asset—not a safe haven.

The tariff wars are especially relevant to XRP price because Ripple continues to court international partnerships and payment corridors. If geopolitical tensions disrupt cross-border finance, XRP adoption and utility may suffer in the short term, dampening investor confidence.

XRP Price Prediction: What to Expect Next?

If the $1.84 level holds, XRP could attempt a modest recovery toward $2.00–$2.05, but the rally is likely to stall unless accompanied by strong accumulation signals and broader market stability. A reclaim above $2.10 would be the first meaningful bullish signal.

On the flip side, if XRP breaks below $1.84 with volume, a slide toward $1.65 and possibly $1.50 is highly likely, especially if the equity and crypto markets continue reacting negatively to tariff announcements.

Will XRP Price Bounce or Break in April?

XRP is at a technical tipping point. The combination of macro fear from tariff wars and bearish chart indicators makes this a high-risk zone for both bulls and bears. The next few days will be crucial in determining whether XRP finds its footing or slides into deeper correction territory.

So, will Ripple bounce or break this April?
If global panic continues, and XRP fails to hold $1.84, the chart suggests more downside is ahead.