Five Losing Weeks in a Row Loom as Bitcoin Price Sits at $75,800

Bitcoin is trading at around $75,800 on Sunday morning, and by midnight it will be clear whether this becomes the fifth losing week in a row. The facts: the week opened on Monday at $78,232, each of the four weeks before it closed below its open, and a run of five red weeks has happened only twice since 2017. Our assessment follows further down. The streak is long, but the individual losses are small, and that is what sets it apart from the two precedents.

If you hold Bitcoin or are planning to buy, you will find the overnight numbers here, the weekly record since early October, the comparison with 2022 and February 2026, last week's fund flows and the dates that matter from Monday.

Bitcoin price on Sunday morning: $75,800 after a night without direction

According to CoinGecko, Bitcoin stood at $75,833 early on Sunday morning, the equivalent of €68,031. That is practically unchanged from the previous day, down 2.4 percent over seven days and down 7.6 percent over 30 days.

The night was as quiet as the one before. Between midnight and just before 6 am CET, the price on the US exchange Coinbase moved between $75,545 and $75,868. The range of $323 amounts to just over 0.4 percent. On Saturday, the price had traded between $75,453 and $76,152 across the whole day.

Compared with our Bitcoin price report from Saturday morning, the price has barely moved: $75,812 was on the board then, about $20 more today. Friday's low of $74,722, which we named yesterday as the most important level to the downside, held. What is new is the clock. Because today is Sunday, tonight brings not only the close of a day but of an entire week.

Bitcoin weekly candle: four losing weeks since the close at $86,507

A weekly candle sums up the price action from Monday to Sunday: open, high, low and close. It is red when the close is below the open. Many traders pay more attention to this weekly close than to individual days, because it filters out the noise of a weekend or a hectic news cycle. The week runs on UTC, so it ends at 1 am CET in the night to Monday.

Here is the record since early October. On October 4, Bitcoin closed the week at $86,507, still up 2.4 percent at that point. Four red weeks followed: a close at $83,678 on October 11 (down 3.3 percent), at $82,007 on October 18 (down 2.0 percent), at $80,053 on October 25 (down 2.4 percent) and at $78,231 on November 1 (down 2.3 percent).

The current week opened at $78,232. On the Wednesday after the US midterms, Bitcoin climbed as high as $81,131; on Friday it fell as low as $74,722. If the price is still where it is now at midnight tonight, the fifth week closes with a loss of just over 3 percent. From the close on October 4 to today, the streak adds up to a loss of 12.4 percent.

Why the weekly close counts for more than a daily close

A daily close on Sunday falls in the middle of the period when the big futures exchanges are shut and order books stay thin. The weekly close, by contrast, is the line along which many funds and traders align their charts. If a streak breaks there, it gets quoted for days. If it holds, the same applies. For the price itself a single close changes little; for the market narrative it changes a great deal.

Five red weeks in a row: only twice since 2017, in 2022 and in February 2026

A look back shows how rare such a streak is. The basis is Bitcoin's daily prices in dollars on the US exchange Coinbase from April 2017 to today, grouped into 498 weeks running Monday to Sunday. cryptoticker.io compiled this analysis itself on November 8, 2026.

Four red weeks in a row occurred eight times in that period, most recently in May 2026. Five or more happened only twice. From March 28, 2022, Bitcoin lost nine weeks in a row, falling from $46,850 to $29,447, a drop of 37.1 percent. From January 19, 2026, six red weeks followed, from $93,630 to $65,769, a drop of 29.8 percent.

The difference from today lies in the force of the move. In both earlier cases a lot of value had already gone in the first five weeks: around 18 percent in 2022 and almost 28 percent in early 2026, with individual weeks of minus 9 to minus 11 percent. The current streak stands at just over 12 percent after five weeks, and no single week has cost more than 3.3 percent. The market is sliding, not crashing.

After the fifth losing week: down 41 and up 15 percent over twelve weeks

What came next diverged sharply in the two cases. In 2022 the fifth red week was only the middle of the decline: four weeks later Bitcoin was 23.5 percent lower, twelve weeks later 41.3 percent lower. That period included the collapse of Terra and Luna in May and the bankruptcy of the lender Celsius in June.

In February 2026, by contrast, a sixth red week followed the fifth, and then the trend turned. Four weeks after the fifth losing close, Bitcoin was 0.3 percent higher; twelve weeks later it was 14.5 percent higher. In April 2026 the price rose above $78,000 again for the first time.

Two cases are not statistics, but they show that a long streak on its own says nothing about the direction that follows. Both times, what mattered was what came from outside: in 2022 a series of bankruptcies, in 2026 a stabilisation in which outflows from the funds eased.

ETF outflows: $1.28 billion leaves the Bitcoin funds in one week

Now to the outside forces. The US exchange-traded Bitcoin funds, known as spot ETFs, hold actual Bitcoin for their investors. When investors withdraw money, the issuers have to sell Bitcoin or at least stop buying. When money flows in, they buy. Daily net flows are therefore seen as one of the best indications of what large investors are doing.

The week was clearly negative. According to the daily figures compiled by TFTC, $398.6 million flowed out on Monday and $115.6 million on Tuesday. Wednesday brought inflows of $74.6 million, the only day in the green. Thursday saw outflows of $430.2 million and Friday $411.9 million. Net, the funds lost just over $1.28 billion in five trading days.

Almost all of Friday's outflow came from a single fund: $403 million left BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust that day, while Fidelity's fund took in $42.8 million. We described the effect on the full year on Friday in our Bitcoin price prediction on the ETF annual balance. New figures will not arrive until Monday evening, as the funds do not trade at the weekend.

If you want to buy Bitcoin not directly but through an exchange-traded product, you will find the variants tradable in Germany in our overview of Bitcoin ETFs and ETPs.

Fear and Greed Index at 28: sentiment recovers faster than the price

The Fear and Greed Index sums up sentiment in the crypto market in a single number between 0 and 100. According to alternative.me, it stands at 28 points on Sunday, which means "Fear". On Saturday it was still at 25, in the "Extreme Fear" zone, and on Thursday at 50.

The direction is notable: sentiment has recovered by three points even though the price has not moved. Apparently the mere fact that Friday's low has not been tested again for two days is having an effect. Beyond a slight easing, though, the reading shows nothing more. Over the past ten days the index was below 40 on every day except Thursday.

Bitcoin levels for the weekly close: $78,232 above, $74,722 below

For tonight there is one clear line. To avoid a fifth red week, Bitcoin would have to rise above the weekly open of $78,232 by midnight UTC. From the current price that is just over 3 percent. After the calm of the past two days that looks unlikely, though with Bitcoin on a Sunday it is never ruled out.

Below that sit the levels that matter beyond this week. To the downside, Friday's low at $74,722 remains the first step. The next is the average of the closing prices of the past 200 days, which by our calculation based on Coinbase daily prices is around $73,200. To the upside, the 100-day line sits at around $77,300 and the 50-day line at around $81,800. Since Thursday, Bitcoin has not reached either of the two lines above it.

US inflation data on Tuesday: the date that will shape the new week

The most important date of the coming days is in the release calendar of the US Bureau of Labor Statistics: on Tuesday, November 10, consumer prices for October are published at 2:30 pm CET. The figure shapes expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate path and with it investors' willingness to move into volatile assets such as Bitcoin.

If inflation comes in higher than expected, markets tend to price in rates staying high for longer, which has often weighed on Bitcoin in the past. If it comes in lower, that can provide a tailwind. Bigger swings than this weekend are therefore likely on Tuesday afternoon. If you work with buy or sell orders, you should know this time.

Holding period for Bitcoin bought in November 2025: losses count only until midnight

In Germany, gains from selling Bitcoin are tax-free if more than one year passes between purchase and sale. For purchases made on November 8, 2025, that period ends at midnight tonight. Bitcoin closed at $102,286 on Coinbase back then; today the price is more than 26 percent lower.

This deadline decides for whom a loss counts for tax purposes. Losses from a sale within the one-year period can be offset against gains from other private sales in the same year or carried forward to later years. If you sell only after the period has expired, the loss is irrelevant for tax. Whether a sale makes sense for this reason depends on your other gains; if in doubt, a tax adviser can clarify it. Our overview of the status of the holding period reform tracks where the policy debate goes next.

If you have many purchases at different times, it is easy to lose track of which holdings are already free. Tax tools assign each purchase its date and show the deadlines; you will find a comparison in our overview of crypto tax software.

Buying Bitcoin at €68,000: a savings plan instead of a bet on the weekly close

If you are considering an entry after five weeks of decline, you face the question of whether the bottom has already been reached. Nobody knows the answer, as the two earlier streaks also show. A savings plan takes that question out of the decision: it buys for the same amount at fixed intervals and so automatically buys more Bitcoin when prices are low. Our Bitcoin savings plan comparison sets out providers and costs.

For one-off purchases, the route you buy through matters. In the EU, crypto exchanges may only offer their services with a licence since the MiCA regulation. Which exchanges hold such a licence and what they charge for buying in euros is shown in our crypto exchange comparison.

Caution is needed with leveraged products. With ten times leverage, the liquidation price of a long position sits around 9 to 10 percent below the entry, depending on the exchange and the margin buffer, so roughly between $68,500 and $69,000 for a purchase at $75,800. A drop of that size within one week is not unusual for Bitcoin; in early February the price fell 8.6 percent in a single week.

Bitcoin downtrend: our desk sees exhaustion, but no turnaround yet

Our assessment: the streak is long, but it looks tired. Supporting this are the small weekly losses, between 2.0 and 3.3 percent, the fact that Friday's low at $74,722 has held for two days and that sentiment is already recovering slightly. A market under genuine selling pressure looks different, as February 2026 showed with weekly losses of up to 11 percent.

Against it stands the most important money flow: $1.28 billion of outflows from the US funds in a single week signals continued retreat rather than exhaustion. As long as that figure does not turn, the buyer who could lift the price above $78,232 is missing. We will only see a turnaround once the funds report inflows again and Bitcoin closes a week in the green. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell. Bitcoin can be highly volatile, and a total loss is possible.

Bitcoin weekly close: only above $78,232 does the streak end

1. Wait for the weekly close: The candle closes at 1 am CET in the night to Monday. If Bitcoin is below $78,232 at that point, the fifth red week in a row is official. A Bitcoin savings plan lets you buy in instalments rather than all at once.
2. Keep Tuesday, 2:30 pm CET, in view: The US inflation data for October is the next driver. If you are looking for an exchange with a MiCA licence for it, you will find one in the exchange comparison.
3. Review your holding periods: For purchases made on November 8, 2025, the one-year period ends at midnight tonight. A tool from our tax software comparison shows which of your purchases are already tax-free.

(As of November 8, 2026. This article is not investment advice. Prices and fee structures change; check the terms with the provider before you buy.)