Crypto Market Outlook for the Week of 27 October 2025: Fed Cut, Big Tech, BTC, ETH and XRP

Update 25 September 2026: This outlook was written on 26 October 2025 for the week of the Fed meeting on 29 October. The Fed did cut by a quarter point, but Bitcoin, Ether and XRP all ended the week lower, and on 25 September 2026 they traded far below the levels discussed here. The outcome is summarised at the end.

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The week starting 27 October 2025 could set the tone for the final stretch of 2025. With the Federal Reserve expected to announce another interest rate cut and the Magnificent Seven tech giants reporting earnings, volatility looked almost guaranteed. Here is what the charts said for Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP, and how macro forces might shape their next moves.

Crypto News: How the Fed and Earnings Could Shake the Crypto Market

The crypto market had been tracking macro liquidity all year. A rate cut means cheaper capital, weaker yields and a higher appetite for risk, all bullish for digital assets. The catch: inflation remained sticky, and the US government shutdown that began on 1 October 2025 had delayed key economic data. That created uncertainty, and markets hate guessing games.

Big Tech earnings, especially from Microsoft, Apple and Alphabet, were also set to ripple through risk sentiment. Strong AI and cloud numbers could spill over into crypto, mirroring past rotations between tech stocks and BTC. Weak earnings, on the other hand, could trigger short-term outflows from risk assets, including digital currencies.

Bitcoin (BTC): Can It Break Through 115K?

On the daily chart, Bitcoin had been quietly recovering from its October lows and sat around 112,600 with a 1.1% gain on the day. The Heikin Ashi candles showed steady bullish momentum after a series of higher lows, suggesting accumulation. The Bollinger Bands were narrowing, which often precedes a breakout.

Key resistance sat near 115,000 (the upper pivot and prior rejection zone), with immediate support around 110,000. A daily close above the middle Bollinger band could invite more buyers and push BTC toward 118,000 to 120,000 by early November. If the Fed disappointed or the dollar strengthened after the meeting, BTC could retest 107,000 before attempting another leg up.

The prediction for that week: bullish bias if the rate cut was confirmed and equity sentiment held, with a potential breakout toward 120,000.

Ethereum (ETH): Struggling to Reclaim 4,100

Ethereum’s chart painted a cautious but improving picture. ETH hovered near 4,000, slightly above its midline Bollinger band. After weeks of sideways movement, the latest green Heikin Ashi candles showed buyers slowly regaining control. However, ETH faced a wall of resistance around 4,072 (0.236 Fib pivot) and the 50-day SMA near 4,030.

The good news was that the lower band around 3,600 had held multiple times, signaling strong demand. A decisive close above 4,100 could open a move toward 4,400. Failure to do so would keep it stuck in a range, and a rejection could pull it back to 3,800.

Macro-wise, Ethereum tends to outperform during dovish cycles, so a rate cut could reignite institutional interest, especially if AI-related earnings lifted sentiment.

The prediction for that week: neutral to bullish, with a breakout confirmation needed above 4,100.

XRP: Early Signs of Recovery

Among the top three, XRP looked the most technically oversold and ready for a bounce. It traded near 2.62 after a 2.2% daily gain, just below its 0.382 Fibonacci pivot at 2.64. The price had crossed above the middle Bollinger band, hinting at a possible short-term reversal.

If buyers pushed through 2.70, XRP could extend toward 2.85, the upper band and a psychological barrier. A rejection there could drag it back to 2.40 or even the 0.618 support near 2.30.

The prediction for that week: bullish momentum building, with potential upside toward 2.80 if BTC remained steady.

Crypto News: What to Expect in the Crypto Market That Week

The setup was clear: macro meets momentum. The Fed’s decision on Wednesday, 29 October, and Big Tech earnings through Thursday were set to decide whether the rebound turned into a rally or stalled again.

A dovish Powell and a market reading the cut as the start of a prolonged easing cycle could send BTC toward 115,000 to 120,000, ETH to 4,400 and XRP toward 2.80. Any hint that inflation still worried the Fed, or disappointing tech results, could trigger another short-term pullback.

What Actually Happened in the Week of 27 October 2025

The Federal Reserve cut its target range by a quarter point to 3.75 to 4.00 percent on 29 October 2025 and said it would end the reduction of its securities holdings on 1 December. Powell, however, made clear that another cut in December was not a done deal, and risk assets turned lower. Based on Binance daily data:

• Bitcoin briefly rose above the 115,000 resistance to 116,400 early in the week, then fell to 106,300 and closed the week on 2 November at about 110,500. The 120,000 target was not reached.
• Ethereum touched 4,254 and briefly cleared 4,100, then fell through the 3,800 level to 3,680 and closed the week near 3,907.
• XRP stalled just below 2.70 at 2.6975, fell to 2.38 and closed the week near 2.53.

The US government shutdown ended on 12 November 2025 after 43 days, the longest in US history.

Where BTC, ETH and XRP Stand in September 2026

The week turned out to be the start of a much longer decline. On 25 September 2026, CoinGecko listed Bitcoin at about $84,700, Ether at about $2,700 and XRP at about $1.55. Along the way, Bitcoin fell to about $57,800 on 1 July 2026, Ether to about $1,506 on 6 June 2026 and XRP to about $0.99 on 14 August 2026. Current levels are on our crypto prices page; the longer-term scenarios are in our Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP price predictions, and the latest market stories in our crypto news.

Bottom line: the week was as pivotal as expected, but in the other direction. The rate cut came, and the rally did not.