TAC Protocol in October 2026: a DeFi bridgehead for Telegram
TAC is trading at around $0.0016, well below levels seen at its July 2025 mainnet launch. The idea behind the project is clearly defined: TAC is an EVM-compatible Cosmos-based Layer-1 chain that brings Ethereum DeFi into the TON and Telegram ecosystem. At launch, established protocols including Morpho, Curve and Euler were already available, with the TAC token serving as the gas and staking token of a delegated-proof-of-stake secured network.
A large audience, an unproven translation
The strength of the thesis: Telegram reaches hundreds of millions of users, and TON alone offers barely any mature DeFi infrastructure – TAC wants to fill exactly that gap. The weaknesses: Telegram’s reach doesn’t automatically translate into DeFi demand, TVL has so far depended heavily on incentive programs, and starting mid-2026 the twelve-month lockups on team and investor holdings begin expiring – together more than 40 percent of the 10 billion tokens, which can now enter the market in stages. Our scenarios stay correspondingly cautious.
The crypto market right now
Total value and sentiment of the market from our own charts. While the page is open, the values refresh at the pace of their source.
What actually moves the TAC price
TAC has a total supply of 10 billion tokens. Around 43 percent is reserved for community and ecosystem, while team (22.1 percent) and investors along with advisors (20 percent) are subject to a twelve-month lockup followed by multi-year vesting – that phase started in mid-2026, and the additional supply is the most important structural price factor. On the demand side, the gas mechanic matters: all network fees are settled in TAC, so rising activity creates direct token demand. In the short term, TVL trends and sentiment around TON and Telegram dominate.
The metrics we watch for TAC Protocol
- TVL and its composition: organic capital versus incentive-driven deposits that leave once programs end.
- Unlock schedule: the team and investor unlocks beginning mid-2026 affect more than 40 percent of total supply.
- Active users from the Telegram channel: whether mini-app users actually turn into DeFi users.
- Fee revenue in TAC: the most direct demand indicator of the gas mechanic.
Why Telegram reach doesn’t guarantee DeFi volume
The equation “hundreds of millions of Telegram users equals a huge DeFi market” is tempting – and so far unproven. TON mini-app users are mostly casual players moving small amounts, not yield optimizers. Established protocols lower the barrier to entry – but the target audience itself still has to generate the demand.
Where this forecast can go wrong
Our scenarios assume that TAC retains an organic DeFi ecosystem once incentive programs wind down, and that the unlock phase proceeds in an orderly fashion. If TVL collapses once programs end, or insider sales weigh on a thin market, even our lower ranges would lose their validity.
